Bill Blair’s “consultation” with Canadians on whether or not to ban assault rifles and handguns wraps up on Saturday 10 November 2018, ending with a whimper rather than the more appropriate bang. 

Buried in the website of Public Safety Canada you can find a form to fill in.

I learn that “In person Stakeholder engagement sessions will be taking place across the country” until the end of November but these are

“by invitation only”.

This is a consultation by stealth.

It’s the pretense that gets me. Holding out the possibility of a ban when, in reality, nothing is going to happen.

No attempt to engage

No newspaper or TV ads asking the public for their views. No billboards. No real attempt to engage people.

Only one tweet from the Minister on the subject – and that was a retweet of the views of a sports shooter who had been present at one of Blair’s “by invitation only” events in Vancouver.

Blair has posted nothing on Facebook about the handgun consultation. But he had something to say about the eleven people slaughtered in the Pittsburgh synagogue.

“May the memories of the victims forever be a blessing.”

I don’t know if I can take much more of this stuff. 

Blair’s prose is beautiful but, as I keep repeating, thoughts and prayers aren’t enough. A fitting tribute for the victims in Pittsburgh would be a handgun ban. It won’t happen in the United States of course but it could here. 

Unfortunately, the chances are vanishingly slim. The Government is afraid of its own shadow – and of the gun lobby.

They're in for a real big shake

Tony Bernardo, executive director of the Canadian Shooting Sports Association, was quick to warn:

"It's very disappointing that an elected government would turn on two million law-abiding citizens that haven't done anything wrong and start looking at punitive measures of taking their lawfully owned property.

"If they want to start playing Russian roulette with the electorate, well okay, game on. If they think our community is going to meekly roll over and accept this, they're in for a real big shake."

Sounds threatening to me.  

Handgun ban? Not a word.

According to Statistics Canada there were 130 homicides committed with a handgun in 2016 - the most in more than a decade. Handguns accounted for 21 per cent of the total homicides that year, and 58 per cent of the shooting homicides. Since data started to be collected in 2008 we have seen a steady rise in the theft of legally owned guns. But legal gun owners have been adding fuel to the fire, selling their guns illegally.

Legal handguns sold on illegally

The Head of Toronto Police Guns and Gangs Unit, Rob Di Danieli, told the National Post that before 2012, about 75 per cent of the firearms were trafficked from the United States but by last year about half came from within Canada. He said legal Canadian gun owners were selling their weapons illegally. He quoted one example where 47 guns had been sold over a five month period making a $100,000 profit for the legal gun owner.  

The RCMP estimates that about half the illegal guns they trace started out as legal guns purchased at a Canadian gun store. The rest come from American gun smugglers. The National Post quotes an RCMP estimate from 2016 that up to 61 per cent of illegal guns started life as legally owned Canadian firearms.

In 2016, for the first time, shootings overtook stabbings as the cause of death in homicides.

Phoney consultation

I wrote to Bill Blair on 11 October 2018 to ask for details of his handgun consultation. I heard nothing and followed up with a reminder last week but still I hear only silence. What is it with Canadian politicians?

How is it possible to have an on-line public consultation and then ignore a member of the public who is so obviously keen to participate? 

Toronto and Montreal have made the headlines but what about other municipalities – including my own in Newmarket – who may wish to express an opinion. What weight will be given to their views? 

Seems to me Bill Blair is just going through the motions. 

Tell me I’m wrong.

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Update on 8 November 2018: The epidemic of mass killings in America continues relentlessly, without missing a beat, accompanied by the usual condolences, tributes, thoughts and prayers. Nothing yet from the NRA. 

Update on 12 November 2018: From the Globe and Mail: "We must criminalise gun possession in Canada."

On Tuesday (6 November) Americans will be voting in their mid-term elections. 

Safe and secure? Dream on...

In too many places the integrity of the ballot will be compromised as voters use ancient voting machines that can be easily hacked. But that’s the United States where the wheels are coming off the wagon.

But before we get too superior we should ask ourselves about internet voting in Canada. Is it secure? 

In a word. No.

Here in Newmarket, for the first time, we had no paper ballots in the municipal election on 22 October 2018. Voters could phone or go on-line to cast their ballot.

Newmarket goes to Spain for internet voting expertise

The Town contracted with Scytl – a privately owned corporation headquartered in Spain - to provide the electronic voting services. Its shareholders are venture capital funds and private individuals including the company’s founders and management team.

Unlike some other municipalities in Ontario where voting hours had to be extended because of problems with “system load”, everything here appeared to go quite smoothly. But can the Town guarantee the security and secrecy of every vote cast?

Hmmmmm. No.

In April 2018 the CBC interviewed Aleksander Essex, a Western University professor and expert on cyber security. He says on-line voting technology “carries little transparency” and cannot guarantee that votes are counted correctly. Professor Essex told the CBC:

“The problem is exacerbated by the fact that some municipalities don't even know where the servers they use for the online voting are located. The election server itself may not even be in Canada." 

adding:  

"We did a study last year on the Western Australian state election and we found the private keys. These are the encryption keys to protect your ballot and voter credentials. We found those keys living on servers all over the world, including in China."

Toronto rejects internet voting

In 2016 the City of Toronto considered moving to on-line voting but rejected it, sticking with paper ballots in last month’s election. An article in Municipal World explains why Toronto and Vancouver took a hard line.

So why did Toronto reject internet voting?

Toronto’s City Clerk, Ulli Watkiss, told Toronto’s councillors:

“The overwhelming consensus among computer security experts is that Internet voting is fundamentally insecure and cannot be safely implemented because of security vulnerabilities inherent in the architecture and organization of both the Internet and commonly used software/hardware.” 

She says vendors are “rarely held liable for security failures or election disasters” and that contrary to the widespread belief internet voting does not increase voter turnout nor engage young people. 

Light years ago (in 2014) an expert panel of computer scientists told the UK Parliamentary Speaker’s Commission on Digital Democracy:

“The particular challenge for voting systems is that all votes are secret, and the expected result of the election is not otherwise known, so there is no independent check on the result returned by the system. The integrity of the process is thus central to the integrity of the result. This is unlike almost any other form of computerised activity, such as banking, where the result of a transaction can be checked, and so mistakes and fraud can be identified and corrected.”

Hacked off

Security systems are frequently compromised. At Facebook. At Cathay Pacific. At British Airways. At Air Canada. At Uber. At Deloitte. At Ashley Maddison. At Walmart. At the Bank of Montreal. At the Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce. Everywhere. All the time.

So why would we believe it could never happen in our elections?

It is unlikely to become an issue until it does. 

And then what do we do?

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Robert Bowers, the deranged gunman who shot and killed 11 people in a Pittsburgh synagogue yesterday, was armed with an assault rifle and at least three handguns. 

There will be calls for Americans to offer their “thoughts and prayers” to the victims’ families and to the wider Jewish community but nothing will change.

Sandy Hook proved that conclusively.

If children can be slaughtered, while leaving the rules on gun ownership untouched, then nothing will persuade Americans to end their love affair with guns.

The United States is a completely dysfunctional polity. Its President, the ludicrous Donald Trump, yesterday suggested the way forward was to have armed guards in places of worship.

Its institutions are incapable of making the changes that are needed to protect Americans from the mad, bad, angry or delusional people who want to kill and maim them with firearms. 

The right to bear arms

In Canada there is no “right to bear arms”. Holding a gun licence for a handgun is a privilege which Parliament should now revoke.

What happened in Pittsburgh could easily happen here. Across the GTA, police presence is to be increased around synagogues and places of worship.

Over twenty years ago, on 13 March 1996, there was a shocking massacre of the innocents in Dunblane, Scotland when Thomas Hamilton entered an elementary school and killed the teacher and 16 of her pupils and wounded another 10 children and three teachers. In the official report into the tragedy Lord Cullen told us: 

16 children and their teacher were shot and killed in the school gymnasium in Dunblane on 13 March 1996. 

“Hamilton entered the school with 4 handguns and 743 rounds of ammunition, Thomas Hamilton fired 105 rounds with a 9 mm Browning self-loading pistol over a space of about 3-4 minutes before committing suicide with one shot from a .357 Smith & Wesson revolver. 

In the light of expert evidence from a psychologist and psychiatrist I conclude that Thomas Hamilton was not mentally ill but had a paranoid personality with a desire to control others in which his firearms were the focus of his fantasies.”

There was a huge outpouring of grief nationwide with hundreds of thousands of people adding their names to the “Snowdrop Petition” calling for a total ban on handguns. 

The then Conservative Government legislated to ban handguns but exempted shooting clubs. In 1997, the incoming Labour Government legislated to ban all handguns in private ownership. At the time, I was an MP at Westminster and voted for a complete ban. I have never regretted that decision. 

Five years in prison for possession of a handgun

In the UK – which has some of the most restrictive gun laws on the planet – the unlawful possession of a handgun means five years in prison.

The same thing should happen here. There should be a complete ban on handguns with gun owners compensated at fair value when they hand over their firearms at police stations, as happened in the UK.

So, are we going to get a handgun ban?

The omens don’t look good.

Kyle Peterson sitting on the fence

On 11 October 2018 I met Newmarket-Aurora’s Liberal MP, Kyle Peterson. He told me he was leaning towards a ban on handguns but was waiting for the report on Bill Blair’s consultation before finally deciding which way to jump. 

I talked about gun violence in Jane and Finch and across Toronto and wondered if he would take a position if shoppers were slaughtered in, say, Upper Canada Mall. No. He says he still wants to see Bill Blair’s report first.

On the same day I wrote to the Minister:

I had a useful meeting this morning with my own MP, Kyle Peterson, (Newmarket Aurora) about your examination of a possible ban on handguns and assault weapons. 

To Bill Blair: What consultation? To Doug Ford: How did your sister Kathy feel about being shot in the head? 

I am very much in favour of a complete ban on handguns. Indeed, while I was a Member of Parliament in the UK I voted for such a ban following the Dunblane massacre in 1996 when 16 primary school children and their teacher were killed by Thomas Hamilton. I have never regretted that vote for one moment. 

Would it be possible for you to send me the details of the public consultation you are having? Are there any documents people should read beforehand to inform themselves of the issue? What form does the consultation take? What is the timetable? When do you anticipate reporting? Are there Town Halls where you will engage the public? If so, where will these be held and when? Will you be actively seeking out the views of organisations or particular individuals or are people expected to come to you, so to speak? Is there a dedicated website or webpage you can point me to?

Thank you so much. I look forward to hearing from you soon. I am copying this to Mr Peterson.

I am still waiting to hear from the Minister, Bill Blair. 

What happened to the consultations?

The Globe and Mail reported on Friday 26 October that Blair 

“wants the consultations to wrap up by the end of the year”.

How is this even remotely possible if we do not know who, where and how he is consulting people? Kyle Peterson was unable to enlighten me about the mechanics of the consultation. He is as much in the dark as the rest of us.

In his mandate letter, the Prime Minister made it clear to Blair what was wanted:

“You should lead an examination of a full ban on handguns and assault weapons in Canada, while not impeding the lawful use of firearms by Canadians.”

My fear is this “consultation” will not amount to a hill of beans. The danger is nothing will happen before the Federal Election when memories of Danforth and the other instances of senseless slaughter will, perhaps, have faded.

In the wake of the Danforth shooting the Mayor of Toronto, John Tory, says he would like to see a ban on handgun sales in Toronto.

Faisal Hussain on the Danforth. Killing people.

“Why does anyone in this city need to have a gun at all?”

Montreal goes further, calling for a national handgun ban.

The day before the Fredericton shooting (where a long gun was used), the Toronto Star quoted Doug Ford:

“I wouldn’t support a ban on handguns. There’s a lot of legal, responsible handgun owners.”

The Fords and "responsible gun ownership"

But we know that even “responsible handgun owners” can flip and become irresponsible. They may have anger management issues. They may just go crazy. Personally, I wouldn’t have trusted Mayor Rob Ford with a handgun when he was high on crack - or even when he was sober.

Accidents can happen and frequently do.

In her lauded biography: “Crazy Town – the Rob Ford Story” Robin Doolittle tells the story of Kathy Ford, Doug and Rob’s sister who was accidentally shot in the head by Scott, who was trying to break up a fight at the time. The gun was owned by Doug Ford senior, the head of the Ford dynasty, who was an avid collector of firearms. Kathy Ford survived and investigators determined the shooting had been an accident. But despite this incident Doug Ford, now Premier, wants to see “responsible” gun owners keep their guns.

Christine Elliott

My own MPP – and Doug Ford’s deputy - Christine Elliott is another politician who believes Canadians should possess handguns. At least she did in 2008 when she spoke in the Legislative Assembly about a Private Members’ Bill – the Handgun Manufacturers' and Importers' Liability Act (which never reached the Statute Book).

She told the House:

“For all intents and purposes, there is a handgun ban in Canada right now. Despite what the Liberal members are saying, despite the hue and cry about calling on the federal government to do something, there already is a handgun ban, except for people who are lawfully allowed to own handguns: members of our police services, our armed forces, and recreational shooters.”

I don’t know if that is still her view given the statistics tell us things are getting worse. I could ask her but it is unlikely she will tell me.

For the people slaughtered in the Pittsburgh synagogue and for the countless unknown future victims of gun violence, thoughts and prayers are not enough.

Yes. We should weep for the innocent but then we must act with purpose and resolution to ban the private ownership of handguns in Canada.

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In June this year Statistics Canada told us:

“Firearm-related crime has been increasing in recent years—while other types of crime have been on the decline. In 2016, there were approximately 7,100 victims of violent crime where a firearm was present. This resulted in a rate of 25 victims of firearm-related violent crime for every 100,000 Canadians, a rate that was 33% higher than that reported in 2013 (19 per 100,000). Over the same time, the rate of overall police-reported violent crime declined by 4%”

Update on 30 October 2018: I asked my MPP for her views on the possible ban on handguns by email on 28 October 2018. If she chooses to reply to me I shall post her response in full.

Key properties in the very heart of Newmarket’s historic downtown at 196-200 Main Street South are up for sale for $7,995,000.

under the hammer

Businesses which will be affected include the Goulash House, Lemon and Lime and the Olde Village Free House. 

Coldwell Banker, the real estate brokerage handling the sale, describes the properties as a "turnkey investment opportunity" in downtown historic Newmarket.

Slippery

The property for sale is in the same block as those owned by the notoriously slippery developer Bob Forrest who has left his properties empty and boarded up for years.

In May 2018 his wife, Colleen Forrest, promised to reveal the “new concept” plan for this key part of the old downtown “in the near future” but we are still waiting. Promises from the Forrests are essentially worthless.

And now this.

Will Forrest put in a bid for the properties up for sale? If so, he will, ironically, re-acquire business tenants he previously evicted from properties now shuttered on Main Street South. Will his promised “new concept” embrace the entire block? Does he have the cash to buy? Does he want to?

"My business is building buildings."

Years ago, Forrest told his then business tenants he would let them stay on for a little bit longer than he had originally planned. He was worried about boarded-up shop fronts and what the Council would say about that. He subsequently told them:

"I don't want to sound at all arbitrary but it is very real for me. My business isn't renting stores. My business is building buildings and I want to get to the point that I can build my building at the earliest possible moment."

We don’t know what Bob Forrest will do about this new "investment opportunity" until he tells us.

But in the meantime the Town should insist on full details of his “new concept” - which has been gestating for a leisurely six months.

The Town should also check his empty and decaying properties on Main Street to ensure they are properly winter-proofed.

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It goes without saying that all the candidates, without exception, deserve a hearty round of applause. Running for elected office takes time, money, energy and commitment and when it’s all over - and to rub salt into the wounds -  the voters never say thank you. That’s not their job. 

We shall see when he delivers the new library

The winners, of course, are now fair game.

The Real Winner is Tom Vegh

Tom Vegh had the most to lose in this election and he did the business. He abandoned his safe berth in Ward 1 to make a pitch for the Regional Councillor vacancy. It could have gone pear-shaped but the gods were smiling on him.

The entry of the green Joan Stonehocker into the race probably siphoned votes away from Chris Emanuel whose platform was way too negative. That 40% tax hike was never going to stick. Emanuel’s loud insistent drumbeat on tax drowned out everything else.

Tom Vegh could hardly believe his good fortune. His big, bold and positive signature policy – a new library and seniors’ centre – didn’t even feature in the Town’s election pages which profile the candidates (using the candidates’ own material). When Tom penned his profile (sometime after 27 July when the Town published the list of certified candidates) his top three priorities were:

1.Increase seniors’ housing options

2.Reduce speeding on residential streets

3.Oppose Regional land transfer tax

At no point in his profile does Tom mention a new library and seniors’ centre. Clearly, it is work in progress. I shall be following Tom’s efforts closely as he seeks to deliver on his promise.

Taylor was never going to lose

Taylor was always going to win. He has a spider’s web of contacts that cover the entire Town – his campaign launch was proof positive of that - and they all turned out for him. 

We have two new councillors – Ward 1’s Grace Simon and Ward 4’s Trevor Morrison – and a retread, Victor Woodhouse, in Ward 2. They will be joining the old gang of four – the re-elected councillors (Jane Twinney and Bob Kwapis) and those who didn’t face an election because there were no challengers (Kelly Broome and Christina Bisanz).

It will be fascinating to see how Taylor handles the job of Mayor with all the new faces around him. 

His predecessor, Tony Van Trappist, was content to play the part as Chairman of the Board – only venturing an opinion when he was backed into a corner and had no other option - allowing Taylor to set the agenda and, largely, dictate policy. Van Trappist never reported back on what was happening at York Region – and not just because he wasn’t paying attention. He left it to Taylor. I can’t see Taylor deferring to Tom Vegh. 

Dive in at the deep end. 

For what it’s worth, my advice to the new councillors is to dive in at the deep end. Don’t wait for that brilliant thought to materialise before opening your mouth. Get stuck in. The former Ward 4 councillor, Tom Hempen, took years to find his voice and that was a tragedy because he often had interesting things to say.

Some councillors also have an unstated policy of never voting against a staff recommendation. Don’t do it. It leads to lazy thinking. And it begs the question: why bother having an election at all?

Challenge the staff

Challenge the staff. If there is a policy vacuum they will fill it. Ask questions. And then ask some more. Does this have to be discussed in closed session? Take the solicitor/client privilege stuff with a spoonful of salt. Keep them on their toes and don’t let them take you for granted. And perhaps this is a good time to remind them of section 2(b) the Town’s Employee Code of Conduct:

“It is every employee’s responsibility to ensure that all information they communicate is as accurate as possible. No employee shall withhold information or wilfully mislead Members of the Council, other employees, clients or the public about any issue of corporate concern.”

If they bother to stir themselves councillors can shape, mould and lead public opinion and get people re-engaged in local politics.

In an era of declining voter turnout that surely must be a good thing.

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In October 2018 voter turnout in Newmarket was 34.7%. In 2014 it was 36.8%.