Today, 30 September 2021, is the first National Day for Truth and Reconciliation.  

There is so much to reflect on.

In June, a shoes memorial sprang up spontaneously on Parliament Hill following the discovery of 751 unmarked graves at a former residential school in Saskatchewan. (Below)

Genocide

In the same month the Prime Minister said the murders and disappearances of Indigenous women and girls across Canada in recent decades amounted to an act of "genocide."

Calls to Action

The Truth and Reconciliation Commission (TRC) published its 94 Calls to Action in 2015: 

Yet six years later, only fourteen of the Calls to Action have been implemented. The creation of the National Day for Truth and Reconciliation is one single step on a long path ahead. 

The report calls for the protection of residential school cemeteries or other sites at which residential school children were buried. This would include 

“the provision of appropriate memorial ceremonies and commemorative markers to honour the deceased children”. 

National Memorial

Personally, I hope to see a national memorial in Ottawa which would force us to confront this truly terrible chapter in Canada’s past.

Many years ago I visited the holocaust memorial in Berlin. It covers 200,000 square feet in the heart of the city, close to the Brandenburg Gate and to the German Parliament, the Bundestag.

Some find it lacking

But, to me, it was powerful and overwhelming and impossible to ignore. Or forget.

We already have a national memorial to the victims of the holocaust in Ottawa.

It is surely time to have one for the victims of the residential schools.

What form it should take is quite another matter.

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From the Globe and Mail 30 September 2021: A Day of Remembrance is Good. Fixing the Legacy of Residential Schools is Better. and Court upholds landmark compensation order for Indigenous children

From the Guardian: Indigenous Children set to receive billions after Judge rejects Trudeau's challenges

Update on 1 October 2021: Editorial from the Toronto Star: Trudeau's holiday makes a mockery of reconciliation day. And from Susan Delacourt: Justin Trudeau may have needed a holiday but he chose the wrong day to take it.

Update on 2 October 2021: from the Toronto Star: With his trip to Tofino Justin Trudeau just proved his critics are right about him

Update on 4 October 2021: From the Globe and Mail: Trudeau apologises

 

 

Southlake Regional Medical Centre has agreed to an Independent Review of patient safety and staffing levels in the Medical Assessment Consultation Unit (MACU).

The MACU is described as "an acute, intensive in-patient unit for patients who don't require the Intensive Care Unit but have medically complex issues needing assessment and whose conditions can change instantly".

Separately, nurses have been raising concerns about the team-based nursing model in the Intensive Care Unit but the hospital has brushed these aside. 

The Chief Executive, Arden Krystal, herself a former nurse, even refused to meet the nurses.

Newmarket Today covers the story here.

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Update on 30 September 2021: from the Era Newmarket: Health Minister must stop "unsafe" care at Southlake.  Vicki McKenna, the President of the Ontario Nurses Association, says Ontario's Health Minister and Newmarket-Aurora MPP, Christine Elliott, has not responded to requests for a meeting with the nurses "even though they are her own constituents". 

This morning I sent the following email to my MPP:

Dear Ms Elliott

I am a constituent of yours. 

You will have read the article in today’s Newmarket Era in which the President of the Ontario Nurses Association, Vicki McKenna, claims that:

“Team nursing in (Southlake’s) Intensive Care unit is dangerous. It was tried - in a failed attempt to save money - and discarded decades ago.”

She says that 95% of the hospital’s ICU registered nurses and registered respiratory therapists want team-based nursing in the ICU stopped. We are told they have asked for a meeting with you but have received no response. 

Besides being my MPP you are also the Minister of Health.

Can I ask if you intend to meet the nurses to hear their concerns? And if not, why not? 

I look forward to hearing from you. 

Update on 10 Ctober 2021: Dawn Gallagher Murphy, the MPP's Office Manager, writes:

"Your concerns are acknowledged.  Your email is received. As to the specific concern raised, yes, I can acknowledge that MPP Elliott is aware of these concerns.  I cannot comment on anything further."

Update on 18 October 2021: The Ontario Nurses Association confirms that the nurses have not, as yet, been invited to meet Christine Elliott to discuss their concerns.

Update on 26 October 2021: From Newmarket Today: Nurses get petition going on Intensive Care Unit staffing concerns

Update on 9 December 2021: from Newmarket Today: Southlake abandons ICU nursing strategy

This morning's Globe and Mail editorial reminds us how the Conservatives choose their leader

Leadership hopefuls have to appeal to a tiny unrepresentative base to stand a chance of winning. And then, to win a Federal Election, they have to dump the commitments made during the leadership contest and appeal to the wider electorate. It is a Sisyphean task.

And yet the knives are out. The Conservative caucus meets on 5 October 2021 and MPs will decide whether they want Erin O'Toole to stay or go. (Right: O'Toole voting on 20 September)

The Globe and Mail sums it up this way:

"Whatever happens, both sides of the debate need to acknowledge two things: (A) yes, in a sense Mr O'Toole did betray the Party's most fervent supporters; and (B) if he wanted to win the election, he had no choice - thanks to the way the party chooses its leader."

O'Toole v Mackay

The Federal Conservative leadership vote is decided using a points system which gives ridings equal weight regardless of the number of members casting a vote. O’Toole targeted Quebec ridings with tiny memberships, playing to their passions and prejudices.

A riding-by-riding analysis by the CBC tells us there were as few as 1,210 votes between O’Toole and Peter Mackay, not the official margin of 27,000. And if Mackay had gotten his act together - targetting riding associations with miniscule memberships and telling them what they wanted to hear - he could have won.

No prizes

In politics there are no prizes for coming second.

Mackay should have had a quiet word with the master of political manipulation and skulduggery, Ontario’s former Progressive Conservative leader, Patrick Brown.

Brown's modus operandi is set out for all to see in his vengeful autobiography: “Takedown: the attempted political assassination of Patrick Brown”.

It is a classic guide on how to climb to the top of the conservative greasy poll when ethics don’t matter. 

Brown v Elliott

Brown courted the votes of New Canadians by taking up their concerns. Any concern would do. He explains how he defeated Christine Elliott, now Newmarket-Aurora's MPP, in her own backyard of Oshawa. He boasts about signing up 10,000 Tamil members.

“It was thanks to the support I had in the Indian, Tamil and Filipino communities. They won the riding and the leadership contest for me.”

"These communities supported me because I had supported them."

Christine Elliott subsequently ran for the PC leadership against Doug Ford but lost (again) even though she had more votes from individual members.

Sleight of hand

Leadership contests shouldn't be conducted by sleight of hand.

We need full transparency to help us understand how our political leaders get to the top - and what they said and did to get there.

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Note: Justin Trudeau won the 2013 Liberal leadership contest getting 81,389 votes out of 104,552 ballots cast during the week-long vote.

The voting system gave Canada's (then) 308 ridings equal weight in the final tally. Each riding was given 100 points, and a candidate got the number of points equal to the percentage of votes they won in that riding. 

The NDP does it differently.

'The Greens have their own problems.

For the Liberal Party, the Federal Election on 20 September 2021 was a damp squib.  

True, they have the most seats in the House of Commons but that is a quirk of our First Past the Post electoral system which rewards Parties whose support is geographically concentrated rather than thinly spread across the nation.   

The Globe and Mail’s Andrew Coyne puts it this way:

“… for the second election in a row, the winning Liberals obtained fewer votes than the party they defeated. With 32.5 per cent of the vote at time of writing, the Liberals have the weakest mandate of any government in our history, breaking the record set … in 2019.

 The Liberals did not just lose to the Conservatives in the popular vote the past two elections: they have done so in five of the past six.” 

He says it takes nearly four times as many votes to elect an NDP MP as a Liberal (114,000, to 33,000).

He could have added that the People's Party of Canada got 842,969 votes (5% of the national total) and doesn't have a single MP.

Coyne says we are trying to run six-party politics on a system built for two, and it’s not working. 

Trudeau rules out Proportional Representation

When the Prime Minister visited Aurora during the election campaign (18 September 2021) he was asked about electoral reform

In the 2015 Federal Election he made a commitment to replace first-past-the-post but didn't follow through. (See below: from the Liberal Platform 2015).

Bold as brass, Trudeau tells reporters he remains open to getting rid of first-past-the-post - providing it is not proportional representation (PR) and only if there is a "consensus" on the issue.

How that consensus would be measured is unclear.

He makes no mention of a democratic deficit which allows a single party Government to be formed (not a coalition) with the support of less than one third of those who voted.  

Ranked Ballot

He rejects PR because it gives more weight to smaller parties. His preference is for the ranked ballot - no doubt on the grounds that most NDP voters would put Liberals as their second choice rather than Conservatives. 

The Prime Minister said:

 "This is something that we approached years ago. There was no consensus. If ever there is more of a consensus, it could be interesting to follow up on, and I'd be open to that, 'cause I've never flinched in my desire for ranked ballots...

"But that's not the priority, and this is the first time in 36 days that anyone has asked me about about electoral reform."

It seems to me the chances of electoral reform being resurrected as an issue in the new Parliament are close to zero.

Voting system shapes our politics

If we had a different electoral system - and more political parties - the way we do our politics would change.

"Big tent" political parties would still exist but, over time, they would likely shrink and fragment.

The US Congresswoman, Alexandria Ocasio Cortez, talks about the straightjacket of America's two-party system:

 “In any other country, Joe Biden and I would not be in the same party, but in America, we are.”

In the United States, with its ossified institutions, it is impossible to imagine three or four or five functioning political parties.

Almost as difficult as imagining Canada with proportional representation.

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Note 1: With the Ranked Ballot voters list their preferred candidates - 1st, 2nd, 3rd and so on.  If no candidate gets 50% of the vote the one with the fewest votes is eliminated and their supporters' second choices are distributed to those still in the race. This continues until one candidate achieves  a majority.

Note 2: In the virtual election "Meet and Greet" hosted by Aurora Public Library on 14 September 2021, Newmarket-Aurora's newly re-elected MP, Tony Van Bynen, gave his clearest exposition to date on his views on electoral reform:

“I for one believe that we should also always take a look at improvements in any system or any process and I do think that is something we should look at. I'm not sure that proportional representation is the only solution. 

I don't know what got in the way of looking at that since I wasn't in the House at the time. I think we should be looking at reviewing it but we should be doing it in consultation, consulting with our communities and broadly looking at the options that are available so, yes, every organization, every society, should take a look and see if there are better ways to accomplish the representation that we need so that their government looks like the people it represents. 

I think that's an important commitment on behalf of our Party and I think that will be done. As to when that can be accomplished I think we have a number of very critical priorities ahead of us immediately. We need to get on top of the pandemic and we need to make sure that we get back into an economic environment where people feel safe; have a place to call home…I think we should look at it.”

 Note 3: The NDP backs mixed-member proportional representation

The Greens favour proportional representation. The Conservatives are not in favour of electoral reform.

The CBC reminds us that two Provincial referendums on electoral reform have been held since the Liberals abandoned their 2015 pledge to get rid of First-Past-the-Post in Federal Elections. In December 2018, British Columbians voted against PR by 61% to 39%. In 2019 Prince Edward Island rejected PR by 52% to 48%.

In 2007 a referendum in Ontario rejected rejected mixed member PR for the Provincial Parliament.

Below: from the Liberal Party 2015 Federal Election Platform:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Update on 16 October 2021: From the Toronto Star: Provincial Liberal Leader Steven Del Duca says he will bring in the ranked ballot or quit.

Update on 21 October 2021: Opinion from the Toronto Star: Steven Del Duca's foolish promise to reform the electoral system or resign.

The collapse in voter turnout is worse than I thought.

It has shrunk alarmingly in Newmarket-Aurora and in all surrounding ridings. 

As I tap this out at 7.40pm on 23 September 2021 the counts have been completed in Newmarket-Aurora; Aurora-Oak Ridges-Richmond Hill and King-Vaughan. We are waiting for the final results from Markham-Stouffville and York-Simcoe.

But the pattern is very clear. Voter turnout is sharply down across the piece.

Astonishingly, in King-Vaughan fewer than half of electors stirred themselves to vote.

Big reductions in the number of polling places

Newmarket-Aurora's Returning Officer tells me:

"We have less than half of the voting sites than we did for the 2019 election. Specifically, we have not been given access to any schools. Previously we had 45 voting locations; this election we have 25 sites (not including single building polls)."

On Polling Day I voted in person at a Church on Main Street South, about two kilometres from where I live. There is no direct bus route from my neighbourhood to my Polling Place in Newmarket's downtown.

At the Polling Station I notice a comment box from Elections Canada, asking about my voting experience. I scribble out a note saying the polling place is too far away from my neighbourhood and this would have discouraged some people from voting.

Yesterday, I received a commendably swift reply from the Riding’s Returning Officer.

Challenging

She tells me it was an

“extraordinarily challenging election”. 

I agree.

She goes on to say:

“There has been no evidence that the location of polling sites has discouraged voters.”

On that one, though, we have to disagree.

If it wasn't the savage reduction in voting sites that kept people away from voting, what was it? 

The pandemic? Disaffection? Couldn't be bothered?

The table below shoes the voter turnout in Newmarket-Aurora and in all adjacent ridings, comparing the 2019 and 2021 Federal Elections.

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Updated on 25 September 2021. All counts have now been completed. The reported turnouts are as shown below.

And the Toronto Star's editorial on low turnouts